Open American War Vs Iran, is it possible?

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Conflict of ignition

As reported Kompas.com today (Tuesday, January 3, 2012), that Iran Threatens U.S. Aircraft Carriers . It began when Iran held military exercises in the Strait of Hortmuz during this week as the square off if a time the United States (U.S.) actually embargoed and declared war against him. Iran was the U.S. bluff by step "will close the Strait Hortmuz". Iran is not just parroting the Arab countries to the willingness of the U.S. and its allies. The President Ahmadinejad would be the most courageous figure for now. Although he knew the consequences, such as the fate of Saddam Hussein, Osama bin Laden, Moammad Khadafi, and other U.S. counter figures.

Iran threat just instantly makes the U.S. absurdly shocked. Why not? Because strait is the gate of exit-entry of oil tankers passing in the Persian Gulf. Saudi Arabi, Kuwait, Iraq and other Gulf countries to use this as a door strait export their oil. No other main goal is the countries largest oil user which Europe and America. If it's really what Iran, the Gulf oil supply out would-be jammed and could threaten world oil prices. The tip of Europe and the U.S. economy will be disrupted. This analysis or calculations Western version. But for Iran is not a mere bluff.

Considering Iran's Strength

Iran is not pembeo country. We know in history, the State of Persia (now Iran) became one of the world besides the Roman forces until the time of the Prophet Muhammad first. Persian and Roman like the United States and Russia in the Cold War era. The two countries are mutually influence and power grab. All kinds of tactics and weaponry they have. Iranian people renowned tough and clever. Look now he's able to develop nuclear technology in the country. So of course the U.S. should make the calculations carefully before acting. Although the U.S. could boast about himself for having managed to "overturn" the rulers who wished fallen like Saddam Hussein, Moammar Gaddafi, and others. Or at least "could hold his nose", such as Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Oman, Kuwait, Afghanistan, Indonesia, and elsewhere.

Open War Possible?

Open war will happen? The U.S. is still full calculation seems ripe under the leadership of President Obama's Democratic Party of origin. Maybe it would be war if the U.S. eventually controlled by the president from the Republican Party. It is the icon, if the leader of the Democratic Party prefers diplomacy path. Obama is not much different from Bill Clinton's policy that emphasizes diplomacy. While leaders from the Republican-like George W. Bush and his war-more pleased with the country's spending budget.

Actually in the Gulf countries there is still an idealistic leader, a kind of pemipin Iraq and Libya. But all killed the U.S. gun tip. And many leaders of Arab countries that have been co-opted by American interests. Because on average they had dininabobokkan by the wealth of their oil revenues. While hoping the Arab League or OIC, is no longer fangs. Very much influence over the UN force that has been driven by the U.S..

What would you say?

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